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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Thursday, 28 August 14
PANAMAX: OWNERS CAN GET AROUND USD 16000 FOR A FRONTHAUL; PERIOD MARKET - VERY QUIET - FEARNLEYS
Handy
The activity and sentiment is improving in the Atlantic with the general TA rate is up about US$ 800 w-o-w. We see more South American carg ...
Thursday, 28 August 14
BANPU REPORTS HIGHER FIRST-HALF YEAR RESULTS FOR 2014
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Wednesday, 27 August 14
FREIGHT MARKET: IS THE MARKET IN A RECOVERY MOOD? - GEORGE ILIOPOULOS
Is the market in a recovery mood?
August is typically a time when the shipping industry takes it easy… charter-ers book their requireme ...
Tuesday, 26 August 14
4TH ANNUAL ASIA NICKEL
4th Annual Asia Nickel
19-20 Nov 2014
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Tuesday, 26 August 14
DESPITE LOW DRY BULK RATES, BULKER PRICES ARE STILL HIGH - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
Traditionally, August tends to be a month of slow activity in the sale and purchasing market and this year has been no exception. However, as shipb ...
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- PTC India Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Economic Council, Georgia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Planning Commission, India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- The University of Queensland
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
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