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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Tuesday, 29 March 22
MEMR OF INDONESIA HAS FIXED COAL PRICE AT US$ 90 PER TONNE FOR DOMESTIC INDUSTRIES EXCEPT SMELTER INDUSTRIES; FOR PLN USD 70 IS APPLICABLE
Minister of Energy and Mineral Resources (ESDM) Arifin Tasrif has set the selling price of coal for domestic, industrial except metal processing an ...
Monday, 21 March 22
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Monday, 21 March 22
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China’s raw coal output posted fast growth in the first two months of 2022, while coal imports continued to shrink, official data showed.
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Tuesday, 15 March 22
INDUSTRY VETERANS & ORGANIZATIONS HONOURED WITH THE PRESTIGIOUS SHIPTEK INTERNATIONAL AWARDS 2022
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Tuesday, 15 March 22
CHINA'S COAL OUTPUT GROWS TO STABILIZE MARKET SUPPLY - XINHUA
China’s coal market has seen growth in output since late February amid the country’s efforts to stabilize production and ensure supply, ...
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- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- PTC India Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Planning Commission, India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- The University of Queensland
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
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