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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Friday, 20 February 15
U.S. PRODUCED AROUND 19.2 MILLION SHORT TONS OF COAL WEEK ON WEEK
COALspot.com – United States the world's one of the largest coal producers, produced approximately 19.2 million short tons (mmst) of coal ...
Thursday, 19 February 15
PANAMAX: NOPAC AND AUSSIE ROUNDS ARE DONE IN LOW/MID $ 4000; TRIPS VIA INDONESIA TO INDIA CLOSER TO THE $5000 MARK - FEARNLEYS
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The handy and supra market has not seen any firming rates in front of the Chinese New Year and still suffering on low activity in both hemi ...
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Tuesday, 17 February 15
WHO PAYS THE SUEZ CANAL FEES? - INCE & CO
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
This was an appeal from an arbitration award on a point of construction in relation to the wording of an addendum to a ch ...
Tuesday, 17 February 15
BUOYANT WAVES IN RECENT YEARS: GLOBAL SHIP INVESTMENT SINCE THE CRASH - HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
Anxiety about fleet expansion is a recurring feature of world shipping markets. Within the global maritime community, worries about the vast amount ...
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- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- PTC India Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Planning Commission, India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- White Energy Company Limited
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
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