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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Tuesday, 03 March 15
INDIAN THERMAL COAL IMPORTS: STEAMING FORWARD - CLARKSONS
Coal-fired power stations comprise around 60% of India’s power output, and with domestic supply issues and favourable international coal pric ...
Tuesday, 03 March 15
Q4' FOB INDONESIA COAL SWAP CLOSED 2% LOWER COMPARED TO Q2 CLOSING PRICE OF $ 47.47
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swaps for delivery Q2' 2015 rose month on month and declined week over week.
The Q2 swap increased US$ 2.24 ...
Tuesday, 03 March 15
FOB RICHARDS BAY COAL SWAPS: Q2 UP 9.60%; Q3 UP 9.75% W-O-W
COALspot.com: API 4 FOB Richards Bay Coal swap for delivery Q2' 2015 surge month over month and week on week.
The Q2 swap has soared US$ 5 ...
Monday, 02 March 15
CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAP FOR Q2 DELIVERY REACHED $ 57.50 PMT W/E 27 FEB 2015
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for Q2’ 2015 delivery rose US$ 1.37 (+2.44%) per MT month over month and declined US$ 0.42  ...
Monday, 02 March 15
BORYEONG POWER PLANT OF KOMIPO TO IMPORT 140K OF SUB-BITUMINOUS COAL FOR Q2
COALspot.com - Korea Midland Power Co. Ltd. (KOMIPO) is inviting bids from coal producers, marketing companies, or traders to supply of 140,000 (70 ...
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- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- The University of Queensland
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Australian Coal Association
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Planning Commission, India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
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