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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Thursday, 19 March 15
HANDY: INDO COAL CARGOS DESTINED FOR INDIA BEING FIXED IN REGION OF $ 7-8K - FEARNLEYS
Handy
The Handy and Supra market has had a week with mixed signals. Although we see more activity in both hemispheres the rates are only up about ...
Thursday, 19 March 15
INDONESIAN COAL BENCHMARK SOAR 7.69% IN MARCH....!!!
COALspot.com - The Ministry of Energy & Mineral Resources of Indonesia revised up Indonesian coal benchmark prices to US$ 67.76 per MT in March ...
Wednesday, 18 March 15
AVERAGE RATE FOR CAPES MOVED TO BELOW $ 4K/DAY LAST WEEK - INTERMODAL
COALspot.com: The even heavier losses noted in the Capesize segment last week, denied the Dry Bulk market a third weekly positive, while the smalle ...
Wednesday, 18 March 15
PARKING THE CAPES - LINOS KOGEVINAS
It is no secret that recent times have been anything but kind towards shipping, and no sector has suffered more lately than the dry bulk one. While ...
Wednesday, 18 March 15
CHINA-OWNED SHIPS: A RAPID RISE TO BECOME ONE OF THE WORLD'S LARGEST FLEETS - RICHARD SCOTT
Ships operated by owners based in China have become increasingly prominent on the world’s sea routes. China-owned container ships, bulk carri ...
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- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- PTC India Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Parliament of New Zealand
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Planning Commission, India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- The University of Queensland
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
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