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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Monday, 20 April 15
Q4' 2015 API 8 CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAP CLOSED US$ 50.28 PMT
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for Q2’ 2015 delivery declined US$ 4.03 (-7.28%) per MT month over month and US$ 0.05 (-0 ...
Sunday, 19 April 15
THE OCEAN FREIGHT MARKET SHOWED STEADY THIS WEEK
COALspot.com: The freight market was fairly steady this week. The BDI was up 2.93% to 597 points week over week. The cape index was also increased ...
Friday, 17 April 15
IHS ENERGY EUROPEAN COAL OUTLOOK CONFERENCE
Attend the IHS Energy European Coal Outlook Conference 19-20 May in Nice, France and learn about timely concerns in today’s coal industry.
...
Friday, 17 April 15
COAL PRODUCTION IN THE U.S. UP THIS PAST WEEK - EIA
COALspot.com – United States the second largest coal producer in the world has produced approximately totaled an estimated 18.0 million short ...
Thursday, 16 April 15
NEW COMMODITY SUPERHIGHWAY WILL EMERGE IN CHINA, ALTERING ENERGY TRADE FLOWS - WOOD MACKENZIE
Wood Mackenzie says that China’s Go West strategy – encouraging coastal to inland flow of capital and people - will result in the forma ...
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- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
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- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- PTC India Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Australian Coal Association
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- The University of Queensland
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- White Energy Company Limited
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
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