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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Tuesday, 26 May 15
MINING ASSOCIATION PERHAPI PUSHES FOR 35,000 MEGAWATT ELECTRICITY PROGRAM - JG
The Indonesian Mining Professionals Association, or Perhapi, has announced its support for a 35,000-megawatt national electricity program, saying i ...
Tuesday, 26 May 15
FOB INDONESIA COAL SWAP; UP WEEK OVER WEEK
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swap for delivery Q3 2015 gains week over week and lost month on month, this past week.
The Q3 swap was declined ...
Monday, 25 May 15
FOB NEWCASTLE COAL SWAP Q1'16 CLOSED LOWER THAN Q3'15 CLOSING
COALspot.com: API 5 FOB Newcastle Coal swap for Q3’ 2015 delivery gained US$ 0.92 per MT (2.07%) month over month and US$ 0.70 week on week. ...
Monday, 25 May 15
CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAP : Q3, Q4'15 & Q1'16 INCREASED M-O-M AND W-O-W
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for Q3’ 2015 delivery up US$ 1.55 (3.09%) per MT month over month and US$ 0.72 (1.41%) pe ...
Sunday, 24 May 15
INDONESIA TO INDIA PANAMAX CHARTER RATES WERE RATING AT AROUND US$ 5500
COALspot.com: The freight market softened in all segments this past week.
The BDI was dropped 7.57 percent week over week and closed at 586 po ...
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- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- The University of Queensland
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Planning Commission, India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
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