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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Thursday, 09 July 15
CPP MARKET : POSITIVE IN THE SHORT TERM - GEORGE VASTARDIS
Despite the traditionally quieter summer period, the clean tanker market has so far experienced healthy activity especially East of Suez. Increased ...
Thursday, 09 July 15
LACK OF FRESH BUSINESS IN THE PACIFIC LEFT CAPESIZE RATES MOVING SIDEWAYS - INTERMODAL
COALspot.com: Intermodal ship broker says in its weekly report that, a different picture from what we saw the previous week was painted during the ...
Wednesday, 08 July 15
RIO TINTO'S MODERNISED KITIMAT SMELTER BEGINS PRODUCTION; KITIMAT BECOMING ONE OF THE LOWEST COST SMELTERS IN THE WORLD
COALspot.com: Rio Tinto is preparing its first shipments of metal from its world-class Kitimat aluminium smelter in Canada following an extensive m ...
Wednesday, 08 July 15
Q3'15 INDONESIA COAL SWAP DECLINED 3.14% MONTH OVER MONTH
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swap for delivery Q3 2015 declined month on month and week over week, this past week.
The Q3 swap was declined $ ...
Tuesday, 07 July 15
FOB RICHARDS BAY COAL SWAPS DECLINED WEEK OVER WEEK
COALspot.com: API4 FOB Richards Bay Coal swap for delivery Q3' 2015 declined month over month and week over week.
The Q3 swap was down US$ ...
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- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Planning Commission, India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
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