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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Sunday, 26 July 15
INDO-INDIA OCEAN COAL FREIGHT RATES REMAIN STEADY
COALspot.com: The freight market continued lost steam towards end of the week and all indices were showing downward trend.
The BDI was up by 3 ...
Friday, 24 July 15
U.S PRODUCED 17.2 MMST OF COAL FOR THE WEEK ENDED JULY 18; FELL 11.5% YEAR ON YEAR
COALspot.com – United States the world’s second largest coal producer has produced approximately totaled an estimated 17.2 million shor ...
Friday, 24 July 15
THE IMPACT OF COLLAPSING CHINESE COAL IMPORTS - CLARKSONS
Global seaborne coal trade is currently projected to drop 1% y-o-y in 2015, which would be the first annual decline in almost three decades. The dr ...
Thursday, 23 July 15
ELEVEN NEW NICKEL SMELTERS ARE TO BE BUILT IN INDONESIA OVER THE NEXT TWO YEARS AT A COST OF $1.4 BILLION
Indonesia’s Most Reputable Nickel Event
Eleven new nickel smelters are to be built in Indonesia over the next two years at a cost of $1. ...
Thursday, 23 July 15
THE CAPESIZE SEGMENT KEPT FOUNDING SUPPORT ON INCREASED DEMAND FROM CHINESE STEEL MILLS - INTERMODAL
The Dry Bulk market closed off on Friday (17July 2015) noting substantial gains and the BDI surpassing the 1,000 points level for the first time af ...
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- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- The University of Queensland
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Planning Commission, India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- White Energy Company Limited
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Australian Coal Association
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
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