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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Friday, 29 July 22
GLENCORE TO SUPPLY COAL TO NIPPON STEEL AT $375 PER TON - BLOOMBERG
Glencore Plc, agreed to supply coal to Nippon Steel at one of the highest prices ever paid by the Japan Bloomberg reported on July 27.
...
Friday, 29 July 22
GLOBAL COAL DEMAND IS SET TO RETURN TO ITS ALL-TIME HIGH IN 2022 - IEA
The world’s consumption of coal is set to rise slightly in 2022, taking it back to the record level it reached nearly a decade ago, according ...
Thursday, 28 July 22
CREW FAMILIARISATION IS CRITICAL WHEN TAKING OVER A VESSEL - WEST P&I CLUB
Knowledge to Elevate
When a vessel changes ownership and/or manager, it can take some considerable time before the new crew and mana ...
Thursday, 28 July 22
RETURN OF COAL A THREAT TO EUROPEAN COMPANIES' ESG RATINGS - REUTERS
European companies turning to coal as an alternative to Russian gas face a hit to their environmental, social and governance ratings, leaving them ...
Wednesday, 27 July 22
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
Amid the upcoming ban on Russian coal from the EU, which will be in full effect on August 10th, EU nations have been accelerating their coal import ...
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- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Australian Coal Association
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- White Energy Company Limited
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- The University of Queensland
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Economic Council, Georgia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
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