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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Sunday, 22 November 15
INDONESIA TO INDIA FREIGHT RATES TO REMAIN DULL NEXT WEEK
COALspot.com: The BDI was down to historical lows closing at 498 points which is down by almost 95.77 per cent compared to 11,800 points in 2008.
...
Sunday, 22 November 15
INDIA COULD PROVIDE SILVER LINING FOR SHIPPING INDUSTRY - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
The rise of India as a global player in the shipping market could be just a couple of years away, as the country has the potential to become a seco ...
Friday, 20 November 15
U.S. COAL PRODUCTION FOR THE WEEK ENDING NOVEMBER '14; NO CHANGE FROM LAST WEEK
COALspot.com – United States the world’s second largest coal producer has produced approximately totaled an estimated 16.5 million shor ...
Friday, 20 November 15
NO IMPROVEMENT SEEN IN NEAR-TERM COAL DEMAND; SWAPS CLOSE LOWER
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swap for delivery Q1 2016 declined month on month and flat on week over week. Price of coal seen no improvements this ...
Friday, 20 November 15
CHANGING CRUDE SUPPLY TRENDS MAY HELP EUROPEAN REFINERS - FITCH RATINGS
COALspot.com: Changes in global oil supply trends, including high Russian production, the expected renewal of Iranian heavy crude exports and the p ...
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- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- PTC India Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- White Energy Company Limited
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Planning Commission, India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
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