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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Sunday, 06 December 15
DRY BULK MARKET ON REVERSE MODE, SET TO BREAK NEW ALL-TIME LOWS - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
The dry bulk market has been the negative “star” of the shipping industry for quite some time. In fact if it wasn’t for the boomi ...
Sunday, 06 December 15
DESPITE TEMPTING NEWBUILDING PRICES, CONTRACTING IN DRY BULK REMAINS LOW - BIMCO
The current newbuilding prices for dry bulk ships has dropped so much that they just passed the lows of 2012 heading downwards and are now at the l ...
Friday, 04 December 15
FOB INDONESIA COAL SWAPS ARE ALMOST FLAT OVER WEAK DEMAND
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swaps for delivery Q1 2016 declined month on month and rose slightly week over week. Coal prices seen very margi ...
Friday, 04 December 15
COAL PRODUCTION IN THE U.S. FOR W/E NOVEMBER 28TH FELL SLIGHTLY FROM THE PREVIOUS WEEK
COALspot.com – United States the world’s second largest coal producer has produced approximately totaled an estimated 15.0 million shor ...
Friday, 04 December 15
MINING OUTLOOK WEAKENS FURTHER ON FALLING CHINESE DEMAND - FITCH
COALspot.com: Fitch Ratings' outlook for the global mining sector in 2016 is firmly negative, reflecting our view that Chinese demand will cont ...
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- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- White Energy Company Limited
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Planning Commission, India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
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- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- The University of Queensland
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
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