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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Monday, 18 January 16
Q1'16 CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAP CLOSED AT $ 42.50 PER TON; UP 1% MONTH OVER MONTH
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for Q1’ 2016 delivery rose US$ 0.43 (1.02%) per ton month over month.
A commodity swap is ...
Friday, 15 January 16
FOB INDONESIA COAL SWAPS FIRM SLIGHTLY LAST WEEK
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swap delivery Q1 2016 declined month over month and week over week.
According to AsiaClear OTC coal swap's r ...
Friday, 15 January 16
SHIPPING: 2016 STARTED WITH MISERY ACROSS THE BOARD FOR SHIP OWNERS - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
As one would have expected, the dry bulk market starter the new year where it left off in 2015, plunging to never seen before depths, as the market ...
Friday, 15 January 16
U.S. WEEKLY COAL PRODUCTION ROSE ACROSS ALL BASINS: EIA
COALspot.com – United States the world’s second largest coal producer has produced approximately totaled an estimated 13.4 million shor ...
Thursday, 14 January 16
FOB RICHARDS BAY COAL SWAP FOR Q3 DELIVERY CLOSED $5.90 LOWER THAN Q1 PRICE
COALspot.com: Q1’ 2016 API4 FOB Richards Bay Coal swap up month over month and week over week.
The Q1’ 2016 FOB Richards Bay Coal ...
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- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- The University of Queensland
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
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