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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Wednesday, 24 February 16
HOW IS THE FUEL MIX FOR U.S. ELECTRICITY GENERATION CHANGING? - EIA
In recent years, there have been changes in the mix of fuels used to generate electricity in the United States. Natural gas and renewable energy so ...
Wednesday, 24 February 16
PRIVATE EQUITY FUNDS LOOKING TO EXIT SHIPPING, MOST NOTABLY DRY BULK, AS OVERORDERING HAS RESULTED IN EXCESS TONNAGE - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
The injection of more than $13 billion in shipping from various private equity funds over the past few years has resulted in what many feared would ...
Wednesday, 24 February 16
THIRTEEN - NOT ALWAYS AN UNLUCKY NUMBER? - CLARKSONS
Back in early 1999 the price of a 5 year old Panamax bulkcarrier dipped to $13.5m, and ever since analysts have hailed purchase decisions made at t ...
Monday, 22 February 16
4200 GAR COAL INDEX SETTLES AT $27.02, DOWN 0.07% FROM LAST WEEK
COALspot.com: Average 5000 GAR coal index of Indonesian origin decline 0.17 percent week over week to averaging $38.89 per ton on this past Friday, ...
Monday, 22 February 16
FREIGHT MARKETS PICKED UP SLIGHTLY THIS PAST WEEK
COALspot.com: The freight markets picked up slightly this past week.
The Baltic Dry Index (BDI) of dry-bulk shipping freights, a measure of gl ...
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- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Australian Coal Association
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- MS Steel International - UAE
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Planning Commission, India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
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