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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Monday, 25 July 16
STRONG BUYER DEMAND PUSHING UP INDONESIAN THERMAL COAL INDICES
COALspot.com: Average 5000 GAR coal index of Indonesian origin rose 0.73 percent week over week to averaging $40.83 per ton this past week, shows C ...
Monday, 25 July 16
THE BDI FELL ON WEAKER RATES FOR CAPESIZE & PANAMAX VESSELS
COALspot.com: The Baltic Exchange, tracking rates for ships carrying dry bulk commodities slide slightly as Cape and Panamax segments ending in neg ...
Friday, 22 July 16
U.S COAL OUTPUT ROSE 17.2% WEEK OVER WEEK - EIA
COALspot.com – U.S, world’s second largest coal producers has produced approximately totalled an estimated 15.1 million short tons (mms ...
Thursday, 21 July 16
WHAT TO DO WHEN YOU DON'T GET PAID - SHIPOWNERS CLUB
Present market conditions have led to an increase in claims related to unpaid hire. To recover unpaid hire, Owners need to fully understand who the ...
Thursday, 21 July 16
CONSTRUCTIVE TOTAL LOSS: WHAT GOES IN TO CALCULATING QUANTUM? - HILL DICKINSON
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
The Commercial Court recently delivered its judgment in an important case (Connect Shipping Inc and Machrimar Management ...
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- Minerals Council of Australia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- PTC India Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- The University of Queensland
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- VISA Power Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
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