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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Friday, 03 February 17
KOMIPO INVITES BIDS FOR 1.13 MILLION TONS OF BITUMINOUS COAL FOR Q2' 17
COALspot.com: South Korea state-owned utility Korea Midland Power (KOMIPO) issued a new tender for 1,130,000 Metric Tons of Bituminous coal f ...
Friday, 03 February 17
U.S. WEEKLY COAL PRODUCTION DECLINED 3.9% W/W; ROSE 17.7% Y/Y
COALspot.com – U.S., the world’s second largest coal producers have produced approximately totalled an estimated 16.1 million short ton ...
Friday, 03 February 17
US - EXECUTIVE ORDER ON IMMIGRATION AFFECTS VESSEL CREWS - GARD
From 27 January 2017, crew members carrying Iraqi, Syrian, Sudanese, Iranian, Somalian, Libyan or Yemeni passports are temporarily barred from ente ...
Wednesday, 01 February 17
MARKET INSIGHT - PANOS TSILINGIRIS
The recent placement of LOIs for 208kdwt Newcastlemax Newbuildings at $38.5m at Private Chinese Yard identifies with the modern history low for dry ...
Tuesday, 31 January 17
A CASE OF NEW YEAR BLUES FOR THE FAR EAST? - GEORGE LAZARIDIS
Unlike the typical lull in the market that we note during the period just prior to the Chinese New Year, 2017 has proved to be fairly m ...
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- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Planning Commission, India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- The University of Queensland
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
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