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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Friday, 03 March 17
U.S. WEEKLY COAL PRODUCTION ESTIMATED AT 15.7 MMST; DECLINE 6.7% W/W - EIA
COALspot.com – U.S., the world’s second largest coal producers have produced approximately totalled an estimated 15.7 million short ton ...
Thursday, 02 March 17
ULTRAMAX: INDONESIA TO INDIA COAL ROUNDS IS BEING FIXED AT AROUND MID 11K BSS SINGAPORE DELIVERY - FEARNLEYS
Supramax
Holiday mode within Atlantic i.e. very few movements but rates remained still positive, mostly in the USG region where tight tonnage sup ...
Wednesday, 01 March 17
2017 IS LOOKING LIKE IT WILL BE A GOOD YEAR FOR A NUMBER OF COMMODITIES - LINOS KOGEVINAS
2017 is looking like it will be a good year for a number of commodities. Following the price recovery witnessed in 2016 across a number of commodit ...
Tuesday, 28 February 17
PORT OF NEWCASTLE SHIPPED 17.39% LESS COAL IN JANUARY; TRADE VALUE UP 11.87% M/M
COALspot.com: The Port of Newcastle, Australia’s major trading ports and the world’s largest coal export port has shipped $AU 1,625.6 M ...
Monday, 27 February 17
THE FREIGHT MARKET WAS FIRMED UP THIS PAST WEEK; BCI ROSE 57.64% W/W
COALspot.com: The Freight market was firmed up this past week.
The Baltic Exchange, tracking rates for ships carrying dry bulk commod ...
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- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- The University of Queensland
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Parliament of New Zealand
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
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