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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Wednesday, 19 October 22
WHAT WILL THE GAS MARKET LOOK LIKE IN A NET ZERO WORLD? - WOOD MACKENZIE
The global gas and LNG market faces a number of ‘great unknowns’. With the market in turmoil uncertainty abounds – from the scale ...
Wednesday, 19 October 22
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
The LNG market remains extremely tight, and as a result adding further pressure on the vessel charter market, which is already stretched due to the ...
Sunday, 16 October 22
COULD A RETURN TO SHALE EXPLORATION BE PART OF THE SOLUTION TO EUROPE'S GAS SUPPLY PROBLEM? - WOOD MACKENZIE
The European gas market is in turmoil. Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has shaken things up, triggering a complete rethink of European energy st ...
Thursday, 13 October 22
THERMAL COAL PRICES RETREAT AS WINTER SUPPLY FEARS EASE - REUTERS
The prices of key thermal seaborne coal grades are retreating amid signs that supplies will be sufficient to meet winter demand in both Europe and ...
Thursday, 13 October 22
SPOT COAL BIDDING: CHINESE FIRM WANTS REVISED MECHANISM - BUSINESS RECORDER
Chinese company M/s Huaneng Shandong Ruyi (Pakistan) Energy Limited (HSR) has cautioned National Electric Power Regulatory Authority (Nepra) that i ...
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- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Planning Commission, India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- The University of Queensland
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Australian Coal Association
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- White Energy Company Limited
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