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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Thursday, 06 October 22
COAL INDIA ASKED TO ENHANCE SUPPLY TO THERMAL POWER PLANTS - IANS
With the festival season round the corner, Coal India Ltd. has been directed by the government to scale up dispatch to thermal power plants.
&n ...
Wednesday, 05 October 22
BUNKER PRICES DOWN AGAIN; IS THERE MORE TO COME? - INTEGR8 FUELS
It’s the economy…..”
VLSFO prices are now back to levels at the start of this year. After all the extremes of thi ...
Wednesday, 05 October 22
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
Amid the looming western sanctions on Russia, the country is challenged to pivot its energy markets away from Europe and toward the East. Yet, Russ ...
Tuesday, 04 October 22
A REMARKABLE SHIFT IN FORTUNES HAS BEEN NOTED IN THE CRUDE OIL TANKER MARKETS - ALLIED SHIPPING
A remarkable shift in fortunes has been noted in the crude oil tanker markets over the past month, yet despite these shifts being seemingly in thei ...
Tuesday, 04 October 22
OIL PRICES COULD SOON RETURN TO $100 AS OPEC+ CONSIDERS ‘HISTORIC’ CUT, ANALYSTS SAY - CNBC
An influential alliance of some of the world’s most powerful oil producers is reportedly considering their largest output cut since the start ...
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- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- PTC India Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Planning Commission, India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
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