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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Wednesday, 24 May 17
LR MARKET IT SEEMS THAT EARNINGS ARE STILL UNDER PRESSURE - INTERMODAL
As we are approaching the summer season, the Clean Product market appears poised to become more challenging, either on East or West of Suez.
L ...
Tuesday, 23 May 17
TANKERS WEEKLY MARKET NOTE - ALLIED
It’s been a turbulent couple of weeks on the oil front, with the effectiveness of OPEC’s policy being under debate amongst most traders ...
Monday, 22 May 17
THE SHIPPING INDEX DECLINES AGAIN
COALspot.com: The Freight market again decline this past week, as BDI and all other indexes show a negative trend week over week.
The Baltic E ...
Friday, 19 May 17
U.S WEEKLY COAL OUTPUT UP 1.2% WEEK OVER WEEK - EIA
COALspot.com – U.S., the world’s second largest coal producers have produced approximately totalled an estimated 13.5 million short ton ...
Thursday, 18 May 17
SUPRAMAX : COAL TRIPS TO CHINA WITH VESSELS OPEN INDO HAVE BEEN FIXED AROUND $8000
Supramax
Atlantic market has stayed quiet with no substantial developments.
Cont to Med scrap cargoes have concluded around 11k says Fearnle ...
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- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- VISA Power Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- PTC India Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- The University of Queensland
- White Energy Company Limited
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
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