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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Thursday, 21 December 17
FUEL SHORTAGE TRIGGERS JUMP IN COAL PRICES - CHINA DAILY
China’s thermal coal prices jumped recently as natural gas shortages across the north spurred an unexpected resurgence in demand for coal-fir ...
Thursday, 21 December 17
SUPRAMAX: IN THE MOST CHANCE, DO NOT EXPECT ANY DRAMATIC CHANGES IN THE NEAR FUTURE - FEARNLEYS
Supramax
Market reducing speed. Rates are dropping further for supras outbound USG on fronth, bkhaul is more stable i.e $25k/22k respectively say ...
Wednesday, 20 December 17
INDONESIAN HBA FELL FOR THE FIRST TIME IN SIX MONTHS, GOVERNMENT DATA SHOWS
COALspot.com: HBA fell 0.80 per cent in December, marking the first fall for the Indonesian Coal Price Reference ( HBA) since June 2017, the latest ...
Monday, 18 December 17
U.S. COAL EXPORTS FOR THE FIRST THREE QUARTERS OF 2017 WERE 69 MMST; UP 68% M/M - EIA
COALspot.com – U.S., the world’s second largest coal producers have produced approximately totalled an estimated 15.5 million sho ...
Thursday, 14 December 17
SUPRAMAX: INDO COAL TO CHINA AROUND LOW $10K DELIVERY SINGAPORE
Supramax
Atlantic basin kept its firm pace with charters still busy with covering pre-holiday requirements. Ultras got close to $20k for ordinary ...
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Showing 1846 to 1850 news of total 6871 |
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- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- The University of Queensland
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- PTC India Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
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