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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Tuesday, 20 March 18
SHIPPING MARKET ANALYSIS - GEORGE LAZARIDIS
It has been a chilling start to the week for the global economy, with the vast majority of stock exchanges noting a fair drop, after a series of se ...
Tuesday, 20 March 18
TRAFIGURA GROUP PTE LTD SIGNS RECORD US$5.725 BILLION EUROPEAN MULTICURRENCY SYNDICATED REVOLVING CREDIT FACILITIES AND JPY72.64 BILLION DENOMINATED THREE YEAR TERM LOAN
Press Release: Trafigura Group Pte Ltd. (“Trafigura” or the “Company”), a market leader in the global commodities industry, ...
Monday, 19 March 18
PANAMAX: DESPITE FEWER REPORTED PERIOD TRADES THIS WEEK, RATE LEVELS HAVE REMAINED SOLID - BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
There were finally reports of increased Brazil activity, but still largely unconfirmed. Vale reportedly took six ships Thursday for 5 Ap ...
Friday, 16 March 18
WEEKLY US COAL PRODUCTION DROPS 1.9 PER CENT WEEK OVER WEEK - EIA
COALspot.com – U.S., the world’s second largest coal producers have produced approximately totaled an estimated 14.8 million short tons ...
Friday, 16 March 18
INDONESIA COAL PRICE CAP POSES LIMITED RISKS TO PRODUCERS : FITCH
Indonesia’s cap on the benchmark price of coal sold to the domestic electricity sector is unlikely to have a significant impact on the credit ...
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- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- PTC India Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- MS Steel International - UAE
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Parliament of New Zealand
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- White Energy Company Limited
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Australian Coal Association
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
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