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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Tuesday, 01 May 18
SUPRAMAX: COAL RUNS, A 61,000-DWT WAS FIXED BASIS DELIVERY SURABAYA, FOR A TRIP VIA INDONESIA, RE-DELIVERY INDIA AT $15,000 - BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
Rates eased in the East, as the week closed out with the momentum slowing. Levels on the key West Australia/China run dropped to $7.25 ...
Tuesday, 01 May 18
GLOBAL MINER PEABODY EYES SALES OPPORTUNITY IN INDIA’S RISING COAL IMPORTS - BUSINESS STANDARD
Indian imports of coal will continue to rise, reckons the world’s largest private sector coal miner Peabody Energy. Glenn Kellow, president a ...
Saturday, 28 April 18
STRONG ASIAN DEMAND CONTINUES TO HOLD UP THERMAL COAL MARKETS - REUTERS
Asian thermal coal demand is defying its typical seasonal slowdown as well as the expanding use of renewables and natural gas, with prices holding ...
Friday, 27 April 18
PEABODY ENERGY'S REVENUES FOR THE FIRST QUARTER ROSE 10 PERCENT OVER THE PRIOR YEAR TO $1.46 BILLION
Peabody Energy's revenues for the first quarter rose 10 percent over the prior year to $1.46 billion driven by improved seaborne coal pricing a ...
Thursday, 26 April 18
BALTIC EXCHANGE LAUNCHES ESCROW SERVICE FOR VESSEL SALES
The Baltic Exchange will be launching an Escrow Service for its members to hold deposits for ship sale transactions. The move will allow Baltic Exc ...
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- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- PTC India Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Australian Coal Association
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- ASAPP Information Group - India
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