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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Tuesday, 17 January 23
CHINA'S SHANXI TARGETS 2023 COAL PRODUCTION OF NEARLY 1.37B TONS - XINHUA
China’s coal-rich province of Shanxi has set a coal production target of nearly 1.37 billion metric tons for 2023, according to a government ...
Tuesday, 17 January 23
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
Rumor has it that the New Year has come, to set the pace in, for Russia to continue hostilities against Ukraine. Ten months on the go, into Russia& ...
Tuesday, 17 January 23
INDONESIA IS ACCOUNTING FOR 32.3% OF THE GLOBAL SEABORNE COAL MARKET IN 2022 - BENCHERO COSTA
After a slow start in the first quarter, global coal trade has really picked up pace last year, and is now fully back to pre-Covid levels, Benchero ...
Tuesday, 10 January 23
INDONESIAN HBA IS SEEING A SPIKE IN JANUARY 2023 INSTEAD OF A SIGNIFICANT FALL IN DECEMBER 2022
COALspot.com: Indonesian Coal Price Reference up 8.43% in January 2023.
HBA is seeing a dramatic spike in January 2023 i ...
Sunday, 08 January 23
INDIAN COAL POWER PLANTS SHOULD BE COMPENSATED FOR 2022 FORCED GENERATION – REGULATOR : REUTERS
Indian power plants that rely on imported coal should be fully compensated when forced to supply electricity, the country’s power regulator s ...
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- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- The University of Queensland
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Australian Coal Association
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Planning Commission, India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- PTC India Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
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