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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Tuesday, 21 January 20
ASIA'S APPETITE FOR COAL GROWS, WITH CHINA THE KEY DECIDER - NIKKEI
Although renewable power generation is expected to rise significantly in Asia, India’s vast electricity needs will still underpin global dema ...
Tuesday, 21 January 20
THERMAL COAL PRICES SET FOR RECOVERY THIS YEAR AS OVERSUPPLY TIGHTENS - REUTERS
Thermal coal prices are expected to recover this year after losing around a third of their value last year as demand from some south-east Asian cou ...
Monday, 20 January 20
INDIA TO STOP SUBSTITUTABLE COAL IMPORT; CAN GO FOR AUCTION OF 100 FULLY EXPLORED NEW BLOCKS: JOSHI - PTI
The Cabinet recently approved promulgation of Mineral Laws (Amendment) Ordinance 2020 to amend Mines and Minerals (Development and Regulation ) Act ...
Monday, 20 January 20
CHINA DECEMBER COAL OUTPUT UP 2.4 PERCENT ON YEAR - STATS BUREAU: REUTERS
China produced 331.74 million tonnes of coal in December, up 2.4 percent on the year, the National Bureau of Statistics said on Friday.
...
Monday, 20 January 20
CHINA IMPORTED 124.4 MLN TONNES OF COAL FROM INDONESIA IN 2019, UP 15.1 PERCENT YOY - BANCHERO COSTA
China's coal imports raced ahead in 2019, surprising many who had expected that in the months of 2019 to come the government would clamp down s ...
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- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- The University of Queensland
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- PTC India Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
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