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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Tuesday, 21 January 20
ASIA'S APPETITE FOR COAL GROWS, WITH CHINA THE KEY DECIDER - NIKKEI
Although renewable power generation is expected to rise significantly in Asia, India’s vast electricity needs will still underpin global dema ...
Tuesday, 21 January 20
THERMAL COAL PRICES SET FOR RECOVERY THIS YEAR AS OVERSUPPLY TIGHTENS - REUTERS
Thermal coal prices are expected to recover this year after losing around a third of their value last year as demand from some south-east Asian cou ...
Monday, 20 January 20
INDIA TO STOP SUBSTITUTABLE COAL IMPORT; CAN GO FOR AUCTION OF 100 FULLY EXPLORED NEW BLOCKS: JOSHI - PTI
The Cabinet recently approved promulgation of Mineral Laws (Amendment) Ordinance 2020 to amend Mines and Minerals (Development and Regulation ) Act ...
Monday, 20 January 20
CHINA DECEMBER COAL OUTPUT UP 2.4 PERCENT ON YEAR - STATS BUREAU: REUTERS
China produced 331.74 million tonnes of coal in December, up 2.4 percent on the year, the National Bureau of Statistics said on Friday.
...
Monday, 20 January 20
CHINA IMPORTED 124.4 MLN TONNES OF COAL FROM INDONESIA IN 2019, UP 15.1 PERCENT YOY - BANCHERO COSTA
China's coal imports raced ahead in 2019, surprising many who had expected that in the months of 2019 to come the government would clamp down s ...
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- MS Steel International - UAE
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- The University of Queensland
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- PTC India Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Planning Commission, India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
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