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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Wednesday, 19 February 20
MINERS WELCOME INDONESIA'S NEW JOBS BILL THAT COULD SPUR COAL GROWTH - REUTERS
Miners have welcomed proposed changes to Indonesian mining rules under a new law aimed at boosting investment, though critics are concerned that th ...
Wednesday, 19 February 20
AS OCEAN TEMPERATURES RISE, SHIPOWNERS LOOK FOR WAYS TO COPE - WARTSILA
The world is heating up, and its oceans are no exception. According to the International Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), the oceans absorb the majo ...
Wednesday, 19 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
The coronavirus outbreak is estimated to negatively affect global economy by at least EUR400bn this year, representing around the 0.4% of global GD ...
Tuesday, 18 February 20
WEEKLY MARKET ANALYSIS - ALLIED
Under such poorly performing market circumstances, many usually take the historical approach, in order to better understand and further analyze the ...
Tuesday, 18 February 20
ADARO SHIPPED 27 PERCENT OF ITS TOTAL COAL PRODUCTION IN 2019 TO INDIA AND CHINA
PT Adaro Energy Tbk (AE) produced 58.03 Mt of coal from PT Adaro Indonesia (AI), Balangan Coal Companies and Adaro Me ...
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- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Australian Coal Association
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Planning Commission, India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- The University of Queensland
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
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