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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Tuesday, 09 June 20
BUNKER SUPPLY CONTRACTS - KEY CONSIDERATIONS FOR THE BUYER - GARD
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
Regardless of whether a buyer purchases fuel directly from physical suppliers or via brokers or traders and whether sale ...
Tuesday, 09 June 20
INDIA: COAL IMPORT DROPS BY 20% TO NEARLY 19 MILLION TONNES IN MAY, SAYS REPORT - HINDUSTAN TIMES
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Monday, 08 June 20
WOOD MACKENZIE: THE INDISPENSABLE OPEC+
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Monday, 08 June 20
CHINA'S COAL IMPORTS FALL NEARLY 20% IN MAY EVEN AS DEMAND RISES - REUTERS
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Monday, 08 June 20
JUNE 2020 INDONESIAN COAL PRICE REFERENCE HIT US$ 52.98 A TON, ITS LOWEST LEVEL SINCE AT LEAST AUGUST 2016
COALspot.com: The Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources of the Republic of Indonesia has revised down again the benchmark price of Indonesian th ...
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- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- PTC India Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- VISA Power Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- The University of Queensland
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Parliament of New Zealand
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