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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Saturday, 20 June 20
NO ESCAPING GLOBAL TRADE SLUMP - BALTIC EXCHANGE
Those hoping for a decent recovery in trade in the second half of the year should prepare for disappointment.
New data from the Unit ...
Friday, 19 June 20
INDIA'S COAL CONSUMPTION GROWTH IN 2019 SLOWEST SINCE 2001: BP STATS REVIEW - HINDU BUSINESS LINE
Growth in global energy markets slowed in 2019 in line with weaker economic growth, according to the bp Statistical Review of World Energy 2020. Th ...
Friday, 19 June 20
KOWEPO TO IMPORT 1,050,000 MT OF MIN 5300 NCV COAL FOR THREE YEARS
COALspot.com: Korera Western Power Co., Ltd. (KOWEPO) has issued an International tender for Total 1,050k MT Min.5,300 kcal/kg NCV coal for t ...
Thursday, 18 June 20
INDIA: GOVT'S PLAN TO CUT COAL IMPORT GOES FOR A TOSS AS FY20 BREAKS LOGISTICS CHAIN; LOCAL OUTPUT STAGNANT - FINANCIAL EXPRESS
Weak logistics support and disrupted supply chain towards the end of the last financial year 2019-20 hit the government’s plan to cut coal im ...
Thursday, 18 June 20
INDIA: THERMAL PLANTS TO OPERATE BELOW 53% CAPACITY IN FY21 AS POWER DEMAND DIPS - BUSINESS STANDARD
The Plant Load Factor (PLF) of thermal power stations across the country is projected to dip below 53 per cent in this fiscal. Muted power demand f ...
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- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Planning Commission, India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
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