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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Tuesday, 07 July 20
WHAT DOES THE PATHWAY TO A NET-ZERO ECONOMY LOOK LIKE FOR MINERS? - WOOD MACKENZIE
Wind, solar, electric vehicles, stationary storage and transmission are all central to achieving the Paris Agreement decarbonisation goals.
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Monday, 06 July 20
INDONESIAN COAL PRICE REFERENCE IN FREE FALL
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Monday, 06 July 20
SUPRAMAX: A 58,000-DWT FIXING DELIVERY VIETNAM TRIP VIA INDONESIA RE-DELIVERY WEST INDIA IN THE LOW $4,000S
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The Capesize market continues to go from strength to strength, as rates reach highs not seen since September last year. The rally is p ...
Thursday, 02 July 20
PRIVATE COAL MINING MAY SEE WEAK INVESTOR SENTIMENT: ICRA - LIVEMINT
The prospects of commercial coal mining in India may be dimmer than initially expected because of the expected shift in India’s energy mix fr ...
Wednesday, 01 July 20
THERMAL COAL OPTIONS TRADING LAUNCHED IN CHINA'S ZHENGZHOU - XINHUA
Thermal coal options started trading on the Zhengzhou Commodity Exchange (ZCE) in central China’s Henan Province Tuesday.
It i ...
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- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Australian Coal Association
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- White Energy Company Limited
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- The University of Queensland
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
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