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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Monday, 20 July 20
COAL INDIA LAUNCHES SPECIAL CATEGORY OF E-AUCTION FOR COAL IMPORTERS - BUSINESS STANDARD
Coal India (CIL) on Friday launched a special category of e-auction for importers of coal. This is in line with the government’s declaration ...
Monday, 20 July 20
OIL PRICE OF $40-43 PER BARREL MORE OR LESS BALANCED - NOVAK | TASS
The Russian Ministry of Energy considers the current oil price of $40-43 per barrel more or less balanced and does not expect price changes after t ...
Monday, 20 July 20
SUPRAMAX: A 63,000 OPEN NORTH CHINA FIXING AN AUSTRALIAN ROUND IN THE LOW $10,000S - BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
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Friday, 17 July 20
MISC MALAYSIA ENTERS INTO PURCHASE AGREEMENTS AND TIME CHARTER PARTIES FOR SIX VLECS
MISC Berhad (MISC) has entered into Memorandum of Agreements (MOAs) with six indirect wholly-owned subsidiaries of Zhejiang Satellite Petrochem ...
Wednesday, 15 July 20
HOW MEANINGFUL ARE SOME ESTIMATES FOR INDIA’S COAL CONSUMPTION DATA? - IEEFA
In recent years, BP's estimates for India have contained what appears to be a record of over-optimistic projections
BP’s a ...
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- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- White Energy Company Limited
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Minerals Council of Australia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Planning Commission, India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
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