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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Wednesday, 30 September 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
Spot rates for Capesize bulk carriers received a significant boost last week, however, there are certain reservations in the market regarding the p ...
Tuesday, 29 September 20
CHINA TAIYUAN COAL TRANSACTION PRICE INDEX UP 0.73 PCT - XINHUA
China Taiyuan coal transaction price index stood at 125.91 points Monday, up 0.73 percent week on week.
The index, released by China ...
Tuesday, 29 September 20
SHIPPING MARKET - ALLIED
Here we are, just a short breath before the final quarter of the year, and many are now debating to what extent we can really expect a firm dry bul ...
Tuesday, 29 September 20
INDONESIAN COAL COMPANIES' EARNINGS TO WEAKEN IN 2H20 - FITCH RATINGS
Rated Indonesian coal miners and contractors will have weaker operating and financial performances in the second half of 2020 than in the first, sa ...
Tuesday, 29 September 20
RUSSIA'S COAL PRODUCTION TO DROP BY 10.5% IN 2020, SAYS MINISTRY - TASS
Russia’s Economic Development Ministry projects a 10.5% decrease in coal production in the country in 2020 compared with last year to 395 mln ...
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- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- PTC India Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- White Energy Company Limited
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- The University of Queensland
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
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