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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Thursday, 17 December 20
CHINA'S BAN IS LESS OF A THREAT TO AUSTRALIA'S COAL INDUSTRY THAN INTERNATIONAL CLIMATE AMBITION - IEEFA
Australian coal exporters will survive this near-term political fight but there are longterm structural headwinds
The decision by Ch ...
Thursday, 17 December 20
BUMA SIGNED US$1.0 BILLION WORTH OF EXTENSION CONTRACT WITH BERAU COAL
PT Bukit Makmur Mandiri Utama, subsidiary of PT Delta Dunia Makmur Tbk., has extended its mining services contracts with PT Berau Coal, in relation ...
Wednesday, 16 December 20
INDONESIA 2020 COAL CONSUMPTION ESTIMATED AT 140-145 MLN TONNES - OFFICIAL, REUTERS REPORTED
Indonesia’s domestic coal consumption is estimated at 140-145 million tonnes this year, Dodik Ariyanto, an official at the energy ministry, t ...
Wednesday, 16 December 20
RUSSIA REVISES DOWN EXPORT EXPECTATION - FITCH
The Ministry of Economy of Russia, the world’s third largest thermal coal exporting country, released its annual forecasts ...
Wednesday, 16 December 20
INDIAN COAL IMPORTS TO REMAIN SUBDUED - FITCH RATINGS
Fitch Rating commented on Indian Coal Imports, Fitch said, coal imports by Indian utilities fell by about 24% yoy to 44 million tonnes (mt) i ...
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- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- VISA Power Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- The University of Queensland
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Australian Coal Association
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
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