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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Friday, 15 May 09
INDIKA EXPECTS TO INCREASE COAL PRODUCTION BY 12.68% IN 2010 - THE JAKARTA POST
ENERGY and infrastructure company PT Indika Energy, the parent company of Indonesia's third largest coal producer PT Kideco Jaya Agung, expects its ...
Thursday, 14 May 09
INDONESIA 2009 COAL OUTPUT REVISED DOWN - REUTERS
* Indonesia coal output seen at 240 million tonnes in 2009
* Coal exports down 11.2 pct to 44.79 mln tonnes in Q1 2009
* Production down 1.4 pct t ...
Thursday, 14 May 09
PAKISTAN WILL IMPORT 3.2 MILLION TON OF COAL IN 2009 - SEATRADE
COALspot.com (Pakistan) - SEATRADE Group of pakistan a single largest imported coal supplier in Pakistan, forecasting Pakistan steam coal imports wi ...
Wednesday, 13 May 09
ADARO, ITM EXPECT COAL GROWTH IN 2009
Adaro, which has a market capitalization of $3.64 billion, sells to 48 customers in 18 countries worldwide, including power utilities Thai Power and ...
Wednesday, 13 May 09
COAL SUPPLY MAY BE VASTLY OVERESTIMATED - ABC SCIENCE
The world's coal supply suggests reserves may be vastly overestimated and we could be facing an unprecedented global energy crisis, according to a ...
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- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Australian Coal Association
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- The University of Queensland
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
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