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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Saturday, 23 May 09
THE SPOT SUPRAMAX CONTINUED TO BE FIRM - VISTAAR SINGAPORE
COALspot.com (Singapore) : VISTAAR Shipping Pte Limited, an experienced ship operator from Singapore, said, the beginning of the week continued ...
Saturday, 23 May 09
INDONESIA'S COAL OUTPUT SLUMPS IN Q1 ON LOWER PRICES, FALLING DEMAND - THE JAKARTA GLOBE
Falling international coal prices, bad weather and other problems cut first-quarter coal output by 50 percent to 30 million tons against an initial ...
Saturday, 23 May 09
INDIAN GOVT PLANS TO BUILD FIVE COAL-BASED POWER PLANTS AT $3.5B TO END CRISIS - THE FINANCIAL EXPRESS
The government has started working on a plan to set up five coal-based power plants with combined capacity of 2,500 mega watt to solve the country' ...
Saturday, 23 May 09
INTERNATIONAL COAL VENTURES PVT LTD FORMED - INDIA SERVER
National Thermal Power Corporation Limited (NTPC Ltd), the largest thermal power generating company of India, has entered into a joint venture with ...
Friday, 22 May 09
CHURCHILL DOUBLES INDONESIAN COAL PROJECT RESOURCE ESTIMATE - STEEL GURU
Mining Weekly quoted Churchill Mining as saying that the resource at its East Kutai coal project in Indonesia has more than doubled to 3.18 billion ...
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- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- The University of Queensland
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Australian Coal Association
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Planning Commission, India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- PTC India Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
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