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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Monday, 17 August 09
CHINESE COAL PURCHASE COULD START A TREND
ABC Rural reported that, The takeover of a major Australian coal mining company by Chinese-owned Yanzhou has raised fears coal markets could be domi ...
Saturday, 15 August 09
TWO / THREE YEAR CHARTER RATES FOR SUPRAMAX IS AROUND US$ 15,000-16,000 PER DAY - VISTAAR SHIPPING
COALspot.com (Singapore): The dry bulk market continued to be soft in the beginning of the week, however towards to end of the week the BDI recovere ...
Friday, 14 August 09
ASIA GREEN TO SELL MORE COAL
I Stock Analyst reported that, Asia Green Energy Plc (AGE) aims to increase its coal sales by 20 percent to 1 million tonnes this year, given the gl ...
Friday, 14 August 09
INDONESIA COAL-PRICES FALL TO $74, INDIA EYES SEPT CARGOES
Reuters reported that, Prices of power-station coal from Australia fell to around $74 a tonne as demand eased, while Indian buyers started to look f ...
Friday, 14 August 09
GUACOLDA STARTS THIRD COAL-FIRED UNIT
Macorship reported that, Chile’s Empresa Electrica Guacolda said that the third unit at its Guacolda coal-fired power plant began supplying po ...
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- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- VISA Power Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Planning Commission, India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- The University of Queensland
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
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