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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Wednesday, 26 August 09
COAL INDIA MAY HIKE COAL PRICES BY UP TO RS 175 (ABOUT US$ 3.60) A TONNE
The Economic Times reported that, state-owned Coal India may hike coal prices by up to Rs 175 (~ US$ 3.60) a tonne to close the gap between domestic ...
Tuesday, 25 August 09
KOREA TO INTRODUCE COAL-MINING ROBOTS TO REDUCE THE RISK OF HUMAN LOSSES FROM CONVENTIONAL MINING
Far East Gizmos reported that, The state-run Korea Coal Corp. (KOCOAL) signed a memorandum of understanding (MOU) on Monday with three Korean engine ...
Tuesday, 25 August 09
INDIA'S GNFC EXTENDED ONLINE BIDDING FOR PURCHASE OF 260,000 T COAL TO 23RD SEPTEMBER 2009
COALspot.com (India): Gujarat Narmada Valley Fertilizers Co. Ltd. (GNFC) invites offers (e-Tender) for supply of 130,000 MT +/- 5% on firm basis and ...
Tuesday, 25 August 09
ANTAM CONSIDERS ACQUIRING BHP
The Jakarta Post reported that, State mining company PT Aneka Tambang (Antam) is contemplating acquiring BHP Billiton's coal concessions in Central ...
Tuesday, 25 August 09
COAL OUTPUT TO RISE IN H2 BUT EXPORTS TO GO FLAT
The leading english news paper in Indonesia reported that, It is estimated coal production will rise by 5.7 percent in the second semester from a ye ...
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- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- PTC India Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- The University of Queensland
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
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