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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Wednesday, 26 August 09
COAL INDIA MAY HIKE COAL PRICES BY UP TO RS 175 (ABOUT US$ 3.60) A TONNE
The Economic Times reported that, state-owned Coal India may hike coal prices by up to Rs 175 (~ US$ 3.60) a tonne to close the gap between domestic ...
Tuesday, 25 August 09
KOREA TO INTRODUCE COAL-MINING ROBOTS TO REDUCE THE RISK OF HUMAN LOSSES FROM CONVENTIONAL MINING
Far East Gizmos reported that, The state-run Korea Coal Corp. (KOCOAL) signed a memorandum of understanding (MOU) on Monday with three Korean engine ...
Tuesday, 25 August 09
INDIA'S GNFC EXTENDED ONLINE BIDDING FOR PURCHASE OF 260,000 T COAL TO 23RD SEPTEMBER 2009
COALspot.com (India): Gujarat Narmada Valley Fertilizers Co. Ltd. (GNFC) invites offers (e-Tender) for supply of 130,000 MT +/- 5% on firm basis and ...
Tuesday, 25 August 09
ANTAM CONSIDERS ACQUIRING BHP
The Jakarta Post reported that, State mining company PT Aneka Tambang (Antam) is contemplating acquiring BHP Billiton's coal concessions in Central ...
Tuesday, 25 August 09
COAL OUTPUT TO RISE IN H2 BUT EXPORTS TO GO FLAT
The leading english news paper in Indonesia reported that, It is estimated coal production will rise by 5.7 percent in the second semester from a ye ...
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- Parliament of New Zealand
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- The University of Queensland
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- White Energy Company Limited
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- PTC India Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
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