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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Tuesday, 01 September 09
GLOBAL COAL PRICES UNDER PRESSURE AS CHINESE PROVINCE RETURNS TO THE PRODUCTION FRAY - REUTERS
China is set to return to role of coal exporter as the deadline for thousands of small coal mines in its Shanxi province to reopen after being shut ...
Tuesday, 01 September 09
INDONESIA PLN SECURES 1.9 MILLION TONNES COAL FOR NEW POWER PLANT
Reuters reported that Indonesia's state electricity firm PT Perusahaan Listrik Negara has secured 1.9 million tonnes of sub bituminous coal per yea ...
Tuesday, 01 September 09
EXPORT OF COAL RAW MATERIAL SHOULD BE REDUCED - INDONESIAN OFFICIAL
Antara reported that, Coal producing companies should reduce the volume of their export of coal raw material and increase the volume of their finish ...
Tuesday, 01 September 09
NEWCASTLE WEEKLY COAL EXPORTS RISE 23%, SHIP QUEUE DECREASES
Bloomberg reported that, Coal shipments from Australia’s Newcastle port, the world’s biggest export harbor for the fuel, rose 23 percent ...
Monday, 31 August 09
INDIA MMTC ISSUE TENDER TO IMPORT 12.5 MMT COAL TO BE SUPPLIED OVER A PERIOD OF 12 MONTHS
COALspot.com (India): MMTC has re-issued a tender to import 12.50 Million Metric Tonnes (12.50 MMT) (+/- 2%) of thermal coal to be supplied over a p ...
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- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
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- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- The University of Queensland
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
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