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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Saturday, 12 September 09
$1.5B KALIMANTAN COAL RAIL TENDER EXPECTED BY YEAR-END
The Jakarta Globe reported that, In the second announcement on major coal-railway projects in as many days, Central Kalimantan’s top official ...
Friday, 11 September 09
INDONESIA COAL-PRICES AT $66, SUPPLIERS OFFER AT BARGAIN PRICES
Some Indonesian producers were rushing to sell coal at bargain prices to ease excess stocks and catch shipments before the Muslim Eid Al-Fitr festiv ...
Friday, 11 September 09
ALPHA NATURAL EXPECTS HIGHER MET, STEAM COAL PRICES IN 2010
Mining Weekly reported that, There are encouraging signs that metallurgical coal demand in most key global markets is either returning or poised to ...
Friday, 11 September 09
POWER SECTOR'S DEPENDENCE ON COAL TO CONTINUE
The power sector will continue to be largely dependant on coal-based thermal power plants to meet its energy needs for the next 15-20 years, Power S ...
Friday, 11 September 09
L&T EYES AUSSIE COAL MINE
Commodity Online reported that, Larsen and Toubro is in talks to buy a thermal coal mine in Australia for about $300 million. Thermal coal is used f ...
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- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- White Energy Company Limited
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Australian Coal Association
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Planning Commission, India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
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