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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Wednesday, 06 January 10
BUMI SHARES UP AS OVERALL PERFORMANCE BEATS PREDICTIONS
The world’s largest thermal coal exporter PT Bumi Resources saw its shares jump 10 percent to Rp 2,675 ($29 US cents) on Tuesday after the com ...
Wednesday, 06 January 10
INDIA MAY HAVE BECOME TOP BUYER OF SOUTH AFRICAN COAL
India may have overtaken Europe for the first time as the biggest purchaser of South African coal in 2009, according to Raymond Chirwa, Richards Bay ...
Wednesday, 06 January 10
COAL PEAK RECEDES INTO THE FAR DISTANCE
COALspot.com (German): Coal will be available to mankind as an energy source for the next 120 years.
The German Coal Importer Association has ca ...
Tuesday, 05 January 10
SUPRAMAX MARKET REMAINED QUIET OVER THE LAST 10 DAYS BRS - DRY BULK
Despite a damp end to the year for bulk rates, shipping has weathered the storm far better than was initially expected in the wake of the financ ...
Tuesday, 05 January 10
WINTER WEATHER SPIKES COAL PRICES - CHINA UPDATE
Cold weather is driving coal prices higher and will lend the advantage in annual negotiations to suppliers, analysts said, predicting that the risin ...
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- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Planning Commission, India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
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