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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Tuesday, 23 February 10
UAE COMPANY TO ACQUIRE CONTROL OF ALLBOND MAKMUR
The Jakarta globe reported that, Renuka Energy Resources Holding, based in the United Arab Emirates, has signed an agreement to acquire 80 percent o ...
Tuesday, 23 February 10
CIL SHORTLISTS 24 FOREIGN COS FOR JV
India's Economic Times reported that, Coal India has shortlisted 24 foreign firms — six each from the US, Australia, South Africa and Indones ...
Saturday, 20 February 10
THE FREIGHT MARKET CONTINUED TO BE SOFT THIS WEEK - CAPT. REDDY
COALspot.com: The freight market continued to be soft this week as still affect of Chinese new year holidays continue. However the index overall had ...
Friday, 19 February 10
MAKING THE JOINT COOPERATION OF PRIVATE GOVERNMENT IN INDONESIA
COALspot.com - Press Release
1. Revision of the presidential decree 67/2005 has been signed by the President on January 28, 2010 with the public ...
Thursday, 18 February 10
THE INDIAN MARKET IS FIRMING A BIT, DUE TO LACK OF TONNAGE IN THE REGION
HANDY
The BSI still decline as holidays around the world have reduced trading.
...
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- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Planning Commission, India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- VISA Power Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Economic Council, Georgia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
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