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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Thursday, 13 May 10
ACTIVITY ON WEST COAST INDIA IS SLOWING - FEARNLEYS AS
DRY BULK CHARTERING
Handy
Atlantic markets remain firm but more for end May/beg June dates as there seems to be more enquiries for those dates. ...
Thursday, 13 May 10
DRY BULK SHIP OWNERS CHEERFUL AMID MARKET RALLY
China’s appetite for raw materials like iron ore and coal, as well as a series of added factors are boosting demand for dry bulk carriers, hel ...
Wednesday, 12 May 10
BANPU'S Q1 PROFIT SLIDES 43% TO B2.71BN - BANGKOK POST
The Bangkokpost reported that, Banpu Plc posted a first-quarter net profit of 2.71 billion baht, down by 43% from the same period last year.
The ...
Tuesday, 11 May 10
DALRYMPLE BAY COAL EXPORTS HIGHEST SINCE JULY; NEWCASTLE FALLS - BLOOMBERG
Bloomberg reported that, Coal shipments from Australia’s Dalrymple Bay terminal in Queensland state rose to the highest in nine months in Apri ...
Tuesday, 11 May 10
DRY BULK RATES SHOOT UP ON STRONG CARGO DEMAND
The dry bulk industry’s benchmark, the Baltic Dry Index (BDI) has kept its momentum, as predicted by analysts and shipping experts, managing t ...
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- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- White Energy Company Limited
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
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