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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Thursday, 27 May 21
KOMIPO INVITED BIDS FOR 1.56 MILLION TONS OF BITUMINOUS COAL
COALspot.com: Korea Midland Power Co., Ltd (KOMIPO) has issued an international tender for total 1,560,000 MT of Bituminous Coal to be used a ...
Thursday, 27 May 21
CHINA POWER DEMAND EXCEEDS PRE-COVID-19 LEVELS; THERMAL OUTPUT STRONG - FITCH RATINGS
Rising Consumption: Total power consumption rose by 21.2% yoy to 1,921.9GWh in 1Q21 due to the fast recovery of China’s economy, after a drop ...
Thursday, 27 May 21
CHINA'S POWER DEMAND EXCEEDS PRE-PANDEMIC LEVELS; RENEWABLES TO DRIVE DEVELOPMENT - FITCH RATINGS
China's power consumption exceeded the pre-Covid-19 levels in 1Q21 due to the country's fast economic recovery, with strong output from the ...
Wednesday, 26 May 21
THE INDONESIA COAL PRICE REFERENCE FOR MAY 2021 SETTLES AT US$ 89.74 PER TON
COALspot.com: The Indonesia coal price reference for May 2021 settles at US$ 89.74 per ton FOB vessel.
The Indonesia coal pric ...
Wednesday, 26 May 21
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
Last year crude tankers’ newbuilding contracting activity was devastated by the economic effects of the Covid-19 pandemic and the cloud of un ...
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- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
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- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
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- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
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- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
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- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Planning Commission, India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- White Energy Company Limited
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Australian Coal Association
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- The University of Queensland
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- PTC India Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
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