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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Tuesday, 26 October 10
DRY BULK MARKET TO KEEP RISING THIS WEEK ON STRONG CHINESE IRON ORE AND THERMAL COAL DEMAND - HELLENIC SHIPPING
Overcapacitated or not, the dry bulk market keeps its positive momentum as we move forward this week, with the Baltic Dry Index (BDI) rising by 0.77 ...
Monday, 25 October 10
TWO CHINESE COMPANIES INK DEAL TO TAP AUSSIE COAL RESERVES
China Daily reportd that, two Chinese coal firms have teamed up to explore and develop coal resources in an area in Australia that has forecast rese ...
Monday, 25 October 10
DRY BULK MARKET STILL HEAVILY DEPENDENT ON CHINA, POSTS SMALL WEEKLY LOSS OF 1.27% - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
With every twitch and turn from China’s metals industry, the dry bulk market is disproportionally affected, as evidenced by the course of the ...
Sunday, 24 October 10
SUPRAMAX VESSELS BEING FIXED AROUND $ 15 K PER DAY DELIVERY N. CHINA FOR TRIP VIA INDONESIA TO INDIA - VISTAAR SHIPPING
COALspot.com: The freight market this week remained almost at same levels with not much change. However the Far East/SE Asia market was quite soft w ...
Saturday, 23 October 10
HEAVY RAINS NO DAMPENER FOR 2010 COAL OUTPUT TARGET, MINISTRY SAYS - THE JAKARTA GLOBE
The Jakarta Globe reported that, National coal production would likely meet the target set by the Energy Ministry despite unusually heavy rain this ...
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- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- The University of Queensland
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
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