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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Thursday, 25 November 10
JSW ENERGY BUYS CANADIAN COAL FIRM FOR $411 MN - NDTV PROFIT
NDTV Profit reported that, Sajjan Jindal-owned JSW Energy on Wednesday said it has entered into an agreement to buy out British Virgin Islands-based ...
Thursday, 25 November 10
DRY BULK MARKET STILL GOING STRONG THIS WEEK, CAPESIZE SECTOR LOSING STEAM - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
The dry bulk market kept its upward momentum yesterday, with the industry’s benchmark, the Baltic Dry Index (BDI) gaining a further 0.64% to e ...
Wednesday, 24 November 10
COAL PRODUCTION PREDICTED TO CLIMB IN SUNNIER 2011 - THE JAKARTA GLOBE
The Jakarta Globe reported that, Indonesia’s coal producers are expected to increase output by 13 percent in 2011, thanks to predicted better ...
Monday, 22 November 10
RUSSIA'S KTK HAS PRODUCED 4.59 MLN TONNES OF COAL IN FIRST 9 MONTHS OR AN INCREASE OF 5% YEAR-ON-YEAR
COALspot.com (Press Release) - KTK has produced 4.59 mln tonnes of coal in first nine months or an increase of 5% year-on-year.
Kuzbasskaya Topli ...
Sunday, 21 November 10
THE FREIGHT MARKET MAY SLIGHTLY FIRM UP NEXT WEEK - CAPT. REDDY
COALspot.com: The freight market continued its down fall with BDI down by 6.83 pct and closed at 2,155 points.
According to Vistaar Shipping of S ...
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- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- The University of Queensland
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
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