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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Thursday, 30 December 10
DRY BULK MARKET STAYS SUBDUED AT THE END OF 2010 - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
The dy bulk market failed to cheer ship owners across the board as the year draws to an end, thus bringing mixed feelings ahead of 2011. On one hand ...
Thursday, 30 December 10
KANGAROO RESOURCES BUYS INDONESIAN COAL COMPANY
Australian-listed Kangaroo Resources Ltd. said Wednesday it will buy 99% of the Pakar thermal coal project in East Kalimantan, for A$277 million thr ...
Wednesday, 29 December 10
WEATHER IMPACTS RIO TINTO COAL AUSTRALIAS QUEENSLAND OPERATIONS
Press Release - As a result of severe monsoonal rain in central and northern Queensland, force majeure has been declared on coal sales contracts fro ...
Monday, 27 December 10
ANALYSIS: CHINA'S COAL PRODUCTION MISMATCHED WITH DOMESTIC DEMAND
As reported by iStock Analyst, China's coal market has been trapped in a strange cycle. Large coal production bases are facing overcapacity, while ...
Monday, 27 December 10
HUNT FOR OVERSEAS COAL ASSETS TO INTENSIFY - FINANCIAL EXPRESS
Financial Express reported that, With the Indian economy back on the track after the slowdown, merger and acquisition (M&A) activities in the re ...
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- Parliament of New Zealand
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Planning Commission, India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
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