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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Saturday, 22 January 11
POSSIBLE COAL EXPORT RESTRICTIONS ON INDONESIA UNLIKELY TO AFFECT CHURCHILL MINING - PROACTIVE INVESTORS
Proactive Investors reported that, Churchill Mining moved to reassure investors after a fall in its share price, stating that from talks with the au ...
Thursday, 20 January 11
INDONESIA MAY BAN LOW-QUALITY COAL EXPORTS FROM 2014 - BLOOMBERG
Bloomberg reported that, The Indonesian government plans to ban exports of coal with an energy value of less than 5,600 kilocalories a kilogram star ...
Thursday, 20 January 11
SUPRAS ARE DOING USD 7- 8K FOR INDONESIA-INDIA - FEARNBULK
Handy
Negative sentiment for forward positions in the Atlantic market due to lack of cargo availability and too many ballasters from the East. Con ...
Thursday, 20 January 11
ITMG TARGETS TO PRODUCE 25 MILLION TONS OF COAL THIS YEAR - BISNIS INDONESIA
Bisnis Indonesia reported that, Coal producer PT Indo Tambangraya Megah Tbk (ITMG) targets to produce 25 million tons of coal this year, a 13. ...
Thursday, 20 January 11
DRY BULK MARKETS FALL SEES NO END - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
Pundits indicating that the dry bulk market’s sentiment remains weak were justified, as the industry’s benchmark, the Baltic Dry Index ( ...
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- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Australian Coal Association
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Planning Commission, India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
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