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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Tuesday, 08 February 11
BAYAN, KANGAROO EXTEND DUE DILIGENCE
Coal miner controlled by businessman Dato' Low Tuck Kwong PT Bayan Resources Tbk (BYAN) and Australia-listed coal company Kangaroo Resources Limite ...
Tuesday, 08 February 11
DRY BULK: IS THE TIDE TURNING? - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
In what could be perceived as a change of market sentiment for the better, the dry bulk industry’s benchmark, the Baltic Dry Index (BDI) poste ...
Monday, 07 February 11
THE INDONESIAN COAL REFERENCE PRICE HAS JUMPED 13.03 PERCENT IN FEBRUARY 2011
COALspot.com - Indonesia’s Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources has set the February 2011 Indonesian Coal Reference Price for therma ...
Monday, 07 February 11
COAL PRICES ON RISE: DEMAND FROM INDIA AND CHINA - ANALYZED SUNIL K KUMBHAT
INDONESIA IS HEART OF ASIAN COAL BOOM
COALspot.com - Rising demand of Coal from India and China, coupled with global financial recovery, is driv ...
Monday, 07 February 11
RICHARDS BAY COAL TERMINAL EXPORTS SURGE, BUOYED BY ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT IN CHINA AND INDIA
COALspot.com - Richards Bay Coal Terminal (RBCT) announced today that 2010 exports have exceeded the last two years’ performance, said in a re ...
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- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- PTC India Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Planning Commission, India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- The University of Queensland
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
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