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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Friday, 09 July 21
CAN WE EXPECT AFFORDABLE POWER SUPPLY BY REPLACING COAL BASED POWER WITH LNG? - FINANCIAL EXPRESS
Bangladesh government’s recent decision to cancel the contracts for 10 coal fired power plants in late June 2021 has invited interest in the ...
Thursday, 08 July 21
STRONGEST HALF YEAR FOR SHIPPING MARKETS SINCE 2008 - CLARKSONS
A year on from peak trade disruption, we update our half year report for the shipping industry profiling a strong recovery and some exceptional ind ...
Tuesday, 06 July 21
INDONESIA COAL PRICE REFERENCE RISES TO 112 MONTHS HIGH IN JULY 2021; 121.15% HIGHER COMPARED TO THAT IN JULY 2020 PRICE
COALspot.com: The Indonesia coal price reference for July 2021 fixed at US$ 115.35 per ton FOB vessel.
The Indonesia coal price referenc ...
Tuesday, 06 July 21
INDONESIAN COAL EXPORTS FELL BY 37% YOY IN 1Q21 DUE TO ADVERSE WEATHER CONDITIONS - FITCH RATINGS
Chinese coal imports declined by 25% yoy in 5M21as a result of both restrictions on Australian coal and the high base in 2020. Import volume in Jan ...
Tuesday, 06 July 21
INDONESIAN 4,200 INDEX HAS ALSO INCREASED TO OVER USD50 PER TONNE SINCE MAY THIS YEAR REFLECTING STRONG CHINESE IMPORT DEMAND - FITCH RATINGS
Price Surge Since March
APAC thermal coal has resumed its price surge since March this year. The benchmark Newcastle 6,000kcal/kg grade c ...
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- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
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- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
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- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Australian Coal Association
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Planning Commission, India
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- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- PTC India Limited - India
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- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
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