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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Saturday, 28 May 11
GOLDEN MINES IPO AT RP 2,300 - RP 3,500
Coal miner PT Golden Energy Mines, a wholly owned subsidiary of PT Dian Swastatika Sentosa Tbk (DSSA) which is controlled by Indonesian businessman ...
Friday, 27 May 11
LARGER DRY BULK CARRIERS LEAD BDIS RALLY THIS WEEK - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
Larger dry bulk vessels have kept on leading the market’s rise this week, with the BDI (Baltic Dry Index) rising by a more than healthy 3.43% ...
Wednesday, 25 May 11
70 PERCENT OF HARUMS PRODUCTION SOLD - BISNIS INDONESIA
Coal producer PT Harum Energy Tbk claimed that out of this year's total production target of 10 million tons, 70% or 7 million tons had been sold, ...
Wednesday, 25 May 11
MINERS BACK GOVT PLAN TO FREEZE MINING PERMITS - THE JAKARTA POST
Indonesian coal miners hailed the government’s decision to impose a moratorium on the issuance of new mining permits, saying the freeze would ...
Wednesday, 25 May 11
DRY BULK MARKET ENTERS WEEK ON A HIGH NOTE - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
The dry bulk market has managed to end its downward trend of the past few weeks and surge back on higher ground. Yesterday, the Baltic Dry Index (BD ...
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- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Australian Coal Association
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Planning Commission, India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- The University of Queensland
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- PTC India Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
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