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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Tuesday, 12 July 11
DRY BULK MARKET BEGINS WEEK ON RETREAT MODE - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
As was evident by the end of the previous week, the dry bulk market’s growth momentum was about to lose steam, something proven yesterday, whe ...
Monday, 11 July 11
REFLECTIONS ON THE FLEET REACHING ONE BILLION TONNES - CLARKSONS / HELLENIC SHIPPING
“A billion gross tonnes of shipping” has a nice ring to it. It presents the industry as a business of substance, with its 85,000 ships w ...
Sunday, 10 July 11
UNTR PROVIDES US$100 MIO TO TTA - INSIDER STORIES
PT United Tractors Tbk (UNTR) agreed to allocate US$100 million to its coal subsidiary dubbed PT Tuah Turangga Agung (TTA).The US$100 million was pa ...
Sunday, 10 July 11
HARDLY ANY CARGO FROM WC INDIA UNTIL END OF MONSOONS - VISTAAR
COALspot.com - The BDI continued to hold last week and firmed up by 27 points with cape and panama index supporting the BDI.
The BDI closed at 1, ...
Sunday, 10 July 11
PTBA INCREASES SHARES IN COAL TRAIN PROJECT - TEMPO INTERACTIVE
TEMPO Interactive reported that, PT Tambang Batubara Bukit Asam (PTBA) is still studying the plan to buy 20 percent of shares in the PT Bukit Asam T ...
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- The University of Queensland
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- PTC India Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
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